Instead of pouring tax money into automobile industry bailouts,
the government should invest in a new infrastructure to deal with
changing climate patterns, said Paul Ehrlich, professor of
ecology.
But Ehrlich notes that real change cannot be brought about by
governments alone. "The scientific community has known for a long
time the direction of climate change," he said. "The problem is in
human behavior."
Ehrlich spoke to the Stanford Report before leaving for
Spain to receive the Ramon Margalef Prize for lifetime achievement
in Ecology and Environmental Sciences.
Dodging environmental catastrophe and global population collapse
is Ehrlich's topic for his speech on Nov. 5 in Barcelona, where the
Climate Change Talks 2009 are under way. The goal of this
conference is to make plans for negotiating an international treaty
to reduce greenhouse gas emissions beyond 2012, when the Kyoto
Protocol expires.
"The timing is exquisite," said Ehrlich, who is taking advantage
of the opportunity to persuade people to take climate change
seriously. In his address, he will point out specific measures that
countries can take to cope with climate change. For instance, a new
water-handling system including dams, pipelines and canals for
agriculture should be designed for enhanced flexibility.
"If leading climatologists are correct, Earth's precipitation
patterns will likely be changing continually for a millennium or
so," Ehrlich said.
In 2005, Ehrlich and an interdisciplinary team of scientists
created the Millennium Assessment of Human
Behavior. "The goal is to start the global discussion about
human behavior and the reasons we're not doing anything to avoid
environmental collapse, and to refocus attention toward things
society can do to become sustainable," Ehrlich said.
One major problem is the growing population. According to
Ehrlich, the author of the 1968 book, The Population Bomb,
there will be two and a half billion more people by the middle of
the century, and each new person will have a disproportionately
greater impact on the environment. The United States is the fastest
growing industrialized nation.
"Americans should go childless, or limit themselves to a single
offspring, as an act of patriotism," said Ehrlich, who warns that
expanding consumption will damage our life-support systems causing
a decline of food security and depletion of water recourses and a
possibly severe decline in standards of living. "All of the
additional mining, harvesting, building and manufacturing to
provide for growing numbers of people increase greenhouse gas
emissions and cause greater climate disruption," he said.
Ehrlich believes it will take drastic measures to stave off
global catastrophe. Even if everyone implemented all the
environmental solutions suggested by Al Gore in his movie The
Inconvenient Truth, it "would delay the end of civilization by 17
hours," Ehrlich said.
Climate disruption has not been getting the attention it
deserves in the new administration, according to Ehrlich. "Obama is
a million times better than Bush, but we need someone a trillion
times better," he said.
If he were to become president tomorrow, instead of implementing
"brick-in-the-toilet-tank solutions," Ehrlich would redesign the
United States around people, not automobiles.
"The automobile has one important future function: it's a good
place for teenagers to make love," he said.
Janelle Weaver is a science-writing intern at the Stanford
News Service.