The climate change bill has become the poor cousin of health
care this summer, but that may soon change. After the EPA issued its “endangerment
finding” earlier this year and the Waxman-Markey bill passed a House vote in
June, loyalties have been aggressively asserted. The oil and gas lobby is battling
what it sees as the legislated decline of U.S. refining capacity. Environmental
groups are anticipating their biggest coup since the 1970s. And the U.S.
Chamber of Commerce is seeking its own Scopes
trial with the EPA over the science behind climate change. Clearly, a messy
battle is brewing.
Even as this is happening, the Obama administration is
pushing carbon control strategies forward through other, more direct, ways. Just
yesterday, a few million
dollars were committed toward carbon sequestration training programs. It’s
a small but significant gesture. Not only does funding for knowledge-based
programs get the ball rolling in the event of the bill’s passage, it suggests a
future series of tax breaks and other incentives to folks who want to get into
the carbon business.
Let’s just get used to it: carbon sequestration may well be
the ethanol of the two-thousand-teens. Makers of analytical instruments
everywhere seem to have an eye toward the business of greenhouse gas detection.
Several of the 2009 R&D 100 Awards winners are related to the detection and
management of industrial carbon emissions.
These include NETL’s carbon
detector that is able to find sequestration leaks, and two new solutions
for catching carbon itself: a
point-source hydrate-based method for controlling industrial emissions from
Los Alamos National Laboratory, and a
solid-state clay sorbent that’s also from NETL. And then there’s Battelle.
One of their highest-profile product deployments of late is a carbon dioxide
detector capable of determining the partial pressure—known as pCO2—of
CO2 in the ocean and atmosphere. This is an important metric for
understanding the global ocean uptake of atmospheric CO2.
So as political (if not scientific) consensus builds over
the reality of human-generated climate change, technology companies large and
small will jump into the mix. But just as ethanol had its problems—competition
with food crops, low energy per square acre for corn-based production—carbon
sequestration also has its failings.
One is that because there is no direct economic impact of
storing carbon (it won’t actually produce anything useful, unless we find a way
to use porous rock filled with CO2), the artificial system of carbon
credits has to work as advertised. Another problem is that the bill, which does
address other greenhouse gases, can’t possibility cover the gamut of
contributing factors, such the natural release of hydrates, the cycles of solar
energy, the global shifting of ecosystems, and the other things humans do to
change their environment, such as population growth, overfishing, release of
ozone-depleting nitrogen
oxides, heavy-metal mining, mercury emissions, and decomposing plastics.
The list obviously goes on.
I kind of like the fact that humanity is making its first attempts
to manage its own climate atmosphere. Carbon sequestration alone probably won’t
work. But if we can get over our technological provincialism and begin putting
solutions together that are free of the political process, someday we will
manage what is, for the time being, unmanageable.